Author = شیرازی، بابک
Digital Transformation and Industry 4.0 in Quality Management

Modeling COVID-19 Vaccine Cold Supply Chain Under Operational and Disruption Risks: A Multi-Criteria Simulation-Optimization Approach

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript, Available Online from 09 June 2026

https://doi.org/10.48313/jqem.2026.568156.1598

Mojtaba Akbari, Ali Tajdin, Iraj Mahdavi, Babak Shirazi

Abstract Purpose: The vaccine cold supply chain, as a quality-sensitive service–operational system, plays a critical role in ensuring timely delivery, maintaining vaccine efficacy, and minimizing wastage. The occurrence of operational and disruption risks intensifies process variability, undermines system reliability, and degrades service quality. The objective of this study is to develop a quality-oriented framework for the modeling and optimization of the COVID-19 vaccine cold supply chain, with a particular emphasis on quality-related performance indicators under conditions of uncertainty.

Methodology: In this study, a novel multi-period and multi-product simulation–optimization framework is developed to support decision-making in vaccine inventory management, allocation, and distribution under operational and disruption risks. The proposed approach integrates agent-based simulation with optimization techniques. The simulations are configured based on scenarios involving transportation disruptions and vaccine supply disruptions and are benchmarked against a disruption-free case.

Findings: The results are evaluated using several key performance indicators, including the expected vaccine delivery time, service level, vaccine wastage due to vehicle failures, and financial metrics. The simulation results indicate that the disruption-free scenario achieves the highest service level (0.82) and greatest degree of performance robustness, whereas transportation disruptions result in the spoilage of 8.9 million vaccine doses, and vaccine supply disruptions lead to the lowest service level (0.76). Statistical validation using the paired sign test further confirms the significance of these differences at the 95% confidence level.

Originality/Value: The present study adopts a quality engineering perspective to analyze the vaccine supply chain as a service system sensitive to process variability and proposes a quality-driven risk management framework. The findings provide practical insights for policymakers to enhance system reliability, reduce quality-related costs, and improve the resilience of vaccine distribution systems under crisis conditions.

Industry-Specific Applications and Emerging Quality Trends

Reliability enhancing in hospital pharmaceutical supply chains using a blockchain-based system dynamics approach

Volume 15, Issue 4, Autumn 2025, Pages 468-488

https://doi.org/10.48313/jqem.2025.544998.1572

Hamidreza Savarolia, Babak Shirazi, Iraj Mahdavi, Ali Tajdin

Abstract Purpose: This paper examines how blockchain technology can improve reliability and operational performance in hospital pharmaceutical supply chains with a focus on inventory variability and responsiveness to demand.
Methodology: A system dynamics model of a three-echelon chain (manufacturer–distributor–hospital) is developed. Two information-sharing scenarios are compared: a traditional setting with centralized, delayed information and a blockchain setting with real-time, decentralized data sharing.
Findings: Results indicate that blockchain adoption enhances behavioral stability, reduces the persistence of hospital backlog, and shortens mean delivery lead time. Specifically, mean lead time decreases by ~15.1% and mean hospital backlog decreases by ~15.8% (both statistically significant). However, the difference in mean hospital inventory is not significant; stability improves, with inventory SD decreasing by ~21.5% and lead-time SD decreasing by ~10%. Taken together, these effects strengthen service reliability and overall supply-chain performance.
Originality/Value: By integrating blockchain-based decentralized data sharing with system dynamics modeling in the hospital pharmaceutical context, this study provides quantitative evidence of how transparency supports quality-oriented supply chain management.